Abstract

Food Security and Non-Communicable Disease Risk in Uganda: A secondary analysis of longitudinal data from a population-based cohort study in Wakiso and Hoima Districts

Gloria Guevara, PhD1, Zhihao Chen, MS2, Filippa Juul3, Alex Daama4, Robert Bulamba4, Godfrey Kigozi, PhD4, Emmanuel Kyasanku4, Stephen Mugaba4, Fred Nalugoda, PhD4 and Yesim Tozan, PhD5
(1)Bronx, NY, (2)New York, NY, (3)SUNY Downstate Health Sciences University, School of Public Health (SPH), New York, NY, (4)Africa Medical and Behavioral Sciences Organization (AMBSO), Kampala, Uganda, (5)New York University, New York, NY

APHA 2025 Annual Meeting and Expo

Globally, about 10 million people die of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) related to unhealthy diets annually. NCD-related disability and mortality are rising across the Global South. However, few studies have examined diet-related risk factors and NCDs within the African context. Our study aims to address this gap by examining the relationship between food insecurity (FI) and NCD risk in Uganda. We performed secondary analysis of longitudinal data from a Population Health Surveillance cohort study being implemented in Wakiso and Hoima districts, Uganda. Data was collected between 2018-2024. We assessed the prevalence of FI and its associated covariates by NCD diagnosis for cancer, hypertension, heart disease and diabetes. NCDs was dichotomized as either at least one NCD or none. Using bivariate analyses, we interpreted adjusted risk ratios to examine NCD risk by food security status. FI and NCD data were collected at three time-points (n=4602, T1; n=4109, T2; n=5200, T3). Between T1 and T3, household FI increased by 5%, NCD prevalence remained the same, though, was higher among food-secure households compared to FI households by 44% (T1) and 38% (T3). Overall, the risk of NCDs increased by 23% (ARR: 1.23, CI: 1.07, 1.41) higher in food-secure households compared to FI households. FI continues to increase in Uganda, while NCDs are rising among food-secure households, partly due to increased economic means, which allow for increased intake of western-style diets. These findings are critical to inform policies and strategies aimed at strengthening prevention efforts in low-resource settings and improving health outcomes for high-risk populations.

Chronic disease management and prevention Epidemiology Protection of the public in relation to communicable diseases including prevention or control