3250.0: Monday, November 13, 2000 - Board 2

Abstract #16576

A Meta-Analysis of Effective Predictors of Violence: Identifying Potential Mediators and Persons for Intervention

James H. Derzon, PhD, The Hamilton Fish Institute/George Washington University, 1925 N. Lynn St, Suite 600, Rosslyn, VA 22209, 703-527-4217, x103, derzon@gwu.edu

Preventative intervention programming is predicated on the idea that causal risk factors can be identified and their impact on future development can be ameliorated or blocked by effective social engineering. Because it is often impossible or immoral to randomly assign children to many of the conditions thought to influence the development of displays of violent behavior, identifying these potential mediators of violence is primarily a correlational endeavor.

In this session, the Hamilton Fish Institute will present its latest findings from an ongoing meta-analysis of over 3,000 effect sizes from over 200 reports from 68 panel studies that measured the correspondence between one or more risk factors and the display of violent interpersonal behavior. The covariation of these risk factors with the display of violent antisocial behavior creates an upper-bound against which effective intervention programming would not be expected to exceed. Breaking out the relationship by its conditional interrelationships, as when clients are selected into preventive intervention, has the potential to further lessen the impact of intervention.

At the end of this session participants will be able to:

• list many of the strongest risk categories at which to target preventive intervention • articulate the utility of different risk factors when used to select individuals into intervention and the potential prediction errors associated with that selection • recognize the utility of different indices for reducing prediction error and increasing prediction accuracy

Learning Objectives: At the end of this session participants will be able to: • list many of the strongest risk categories at which to target preventive intervention • articulate the utility of different risk factors when used to select individuals into intervention and the potential prediction errors associated with that selection • recognize the utility of different indices for reducing prediction error and increasing prediction accuracy

Presenting author's disclosure statement:
Organization/institution whose products or services will be discussed: The Hamilton Fish Institute at The George Washington University
I have a significant financial interest/arrangement or affiliation with any organization/institution whose products or services are being discussed in this session.
Relationship: Associate Director of Institute

The 128th Annual Meeting of APHA