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American Public Health Association
133rd Annual Meeting & Exposition
December 10-14, 2005
Philadelphia, PA
APHA 2005
 
3187.0: Monday, December 12, 2005 - 1:30 PM

Abstract #121953

Assessing cancer burden: Estimating and utilizing prevalence

Stanley H. Weiss, MD1, Judith B. Klotz, DrPH2, Xiaoling Niu, MS3, Jung Yee Kim, MPH4, and Daniel M. Rosenblum, PhD4. (1) Epidemiology, UMDNJ-New Jersey Medical School, 30 Bergen St, Bldg 16, Suite ADMC 1614, Newark, NJ 07107-3000, (2) UMDNJ-School of Public Health, 30 Bergen Street, ADMC 16, Suite 1614, Newark, NJ 07107-3000, 973-972-4623, judith.klotz@comcast.net, (3) Cancer Epidemiology Services, New Jersey Department of Health and Senior Services, P.O. Box 369, Trenton, NJ 08625-0369, (4) Preventive Medicine & Community Health, UMDNJ-New Jersey Medical School, 30 Bergen Street, ADMC 16, Suite 1614, Newark, NJ 07107-3000

In order to estimate the county burdens of certain common cancers, we generated a simple method for estimating county-specific total prevalence counts. The method requires only the following data: (1) county incidence counts from state cancer registries; (2) county census; (3) national crude incidence rates from SEER (NCI), and (4) national prevalence estimates from SEER. For total prevalence, all cancer survivors are counted as prevalent cases, regardless of elapsed time since diagnosis, because the sequelae of many cancer treatments and the psychosocial effects of cancer diagnoses and survival often result in lifelong healthcare services for patients and their families. We made simplifying assumptions about variations in survival rates, racial/ethnic distributions, and migration. The core of the method involves calculation of ratios of prevalence counts to incidence counts. These ratios varied from 1.4 (lung cancer in males) to 17.0 (cervical cancer). We compare these estimates with limited-duration prevalence estimates from other sources, by cancer type. Capacity and needs assessments conducted in each New Jersey county were able to incorporate and use these estimates for their analyses and summaries for cancer control.

Learning Objectives: Learning Objectives

Presenting author's disclosure statement:

I wish to disclose that I have NO financial interests or other relationship with the manufactures of commercial products, suppliers of commercial services or commercial supporters.

Handout (.ppt format,

[ Recorded presentation ] Recorded presentation

Evaluation and Implementation of State Comprehensive Cancer Control Plans: Evolving Lessons

The 133rd Annual Meeting & Exposition (December 10-14, 2005) of APHA