189738 Finding peaceful resolution to the US-Iran standoff

Tuesday, October 28, 2008: 12:45 PM

Trita Parsi, PhD , National Iranian American Council, Washington, DC
The discussions in Washington regarding any potential opening to Tehran have centered on boosting economic incentives in hope that larger economic carrots would compel a change in Iranian behavior. At times, the idea of offering security guarantees has been considered in an effort to deprive Iran of incentives to develop a nuclear deterrence against the U.S. Though both of these components may be necessary to put U.S.-Iran relations on a different footing, they are likely not sufficient. The notion that the U.S.-Iran standoff can be resolved solely through economic incentives and limited security guarantees is premised on the realities of yesteryear's Middle East. Current facts on the ground are quite different -- Iran's regional influence is unquestionable and rolling Iran back out of Lebanon, Iraq, Afghanistan, and perhaps even Gaza may no longer be realistic. The question is no longer -- if it ever was -- what economic incentives are required to change Iranian behavior. Rather, to reach a settlement with Iran that could help stabilize Iraq, prevent a Taliban resurrection in Afghanistan, reach a political deal in Lebanon and create a better climate to resolve the Israeli Palestinian conflict, the U.S. must arguably grant Iran a role in the region and begin focusing on how to influence Iranian behavior rather than how to roll back Iranian influence. Thus far, Washington has failed to appreciate what a resolution to U.S.-Iran tensions would require -- from the United States.

Learning Objectives:
At the end of this presentation participants will: Analyze the strengths and limitations of economic incentives and security guarantees under discussion; and Evaluate the perspective that to reach a settlement with Iran the US must grant Iran a role in the region and begin focusing on how to influence Iranian behavior rather than how to roll back Iranian influence.

Keywords: War, Conflict Resolution

Presenting author's disclosure statement:

Qualified on the content I am responsible for because: Dr. Trita Parsi is President of the National Iranian American Council. Dr. Parsi has worked for the Swedish Permanent Mission to the UN in New York where he served in the Security Council handling affairs for Afghanistan, Iraq, Tajikistan and Western Sahara, and the General Assembly's Third Committee addressing human rights in Iran, Afghanistan, Myanmar and Iraq. He has also served as a foreign policy advisor to Congressman Bob Ney (R-OH). His expertise is Iranian foreign policy and US-Iran relations. His book, Treacherous Alliance - The Secret Dealings of Israel, Iran and the United States, (Yale University Press 2007), is based on more than 130 interviews that Dr. Parsi has conducted - in his personal capacity - in Israel, Iran and the United States with senior officials from all three countries. Dr. Parsi's articles on Middle East affairs have been published in the Financial Times, Jane's Intelligence Review, the Globalist, the Jerusalem Post, The Forward, BitterLemons and the Daily Star. As a Middle East expert, he is a frequent commentator on US-Iranian relations and Middle Eastern affairs, and has appeared on BBC World News, PBS NewsHour with Jim Lehrer, CNN, Al Jazeera, C-Span, NPR, ABC, and MSNBC. Dr. Parsi was born in Iran and grew up in Sweden. He earned a Master's degree in international relations at Uppsala University, a second Master's degree in economics at Stockholm School of Economics and a PhD in international relations at Johns Hopkins University's SAIS. His personal website is www.tritaparsi.com.
Any relevant financial relationships? No

I agree to comply with the American Public Health Association Conflict of Interest and Commercial Support Guidelines, and to disclose to the participants any off-label or experimental uses of a commercial product or service discussed in my presentation.